Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sochaux win with a probability of 36.86%. A win for Dunkerque had a probability of 33.22% and a draw had a probability of 29.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sochaux win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.32%) and 2-0 (7.21%). The likeliest Dunkerque win was 0-1 (12.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sochaux in this match.