Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris FC win with a probability of 40.32%. A win for Ajaccio had a probability of 30.04% and a draw had a probability of 29.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.09%) and 2-1 (7.74%). The likeliest Ajaccio win was 0-1 (11.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.