Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris FC win with a probability of 41.74%. A win for Niort had a probability of 30.11% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris FC win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.31%) and 0-2 (8.07%). The likeliest Niort win was 1-0 (10.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.