Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dijon win with a probability of 40.46%. A win for Dunkerque had a probability of 32.96% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dijon win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.57%) and 2-0 (7.16%). The likeliest Dunkerque win was 0-1 (9.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dijon would win this match.