Ligue 2 | Gameweek 4
Aug 26, 2023 at 6pm UK
Stade Michel d'Ornano
Caen3 - 0Ajaccio
Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Caen and Ajaccio.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Concarneau 0-2 Caen
Saturday, August 19 at 6pm in Ligue 2
Saturday, August 19 at 6pm in Ligue 2
Last Game: Ajaccio 0-0 Bordeaux
Monday, August 21 at 7.45pm in Ligue 2
Monday, August 21 at 7.45pm in Ligue 2
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caen win with a probability of 46.3%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Ajaccio had a probability of 26.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Caen win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.25%) and 2-1 (8.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.84%), while for an Ajaccio win it was 0-1 (9.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Caen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Caen | Draw | Ajaccio |
46.3% ( -0) | 27.67% ( 0) | 26.03% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 45.1% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.1% ( -0) | 59.9% ( 0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.84% ( -0) | 80.16% ( 0) |
| Caen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.1% ( -0) | 25.9% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.11% ( -0) | 60.89% ( 0) |
| Ajaccio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.86% ( 0) | 39.14% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 24.15% ( 0) | 75.85% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
Caen 46.3%
Ajaccio 26.03%
Draw 27.66%
| Caen | Draw | Ajaccio |
| 1-0 @ 13.69% 2-0 @ 9.25% ( -0)2-1 @ 8.68% 3-0 @ 4.17% 3-1 @ 3.91% 3-2 @ 1.83% 4-0 @ 1.41% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.32% ( -0)Other @ 2.05% Total : 46.3% | 1-1 @ 12.84% 0-0 @ 10.13% 2-2 @ 4.07% Other @ 0.62% Total : 27.66% | 0-1 @ 9.51% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.03% ( 0)0-2 @ 4.46% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.88% 0-3 @ 1.4% 2-3 @ 1.27% Other @ 1.48% Total : 26.03% |
Head to Head
Jan 24, 2022 7.45pm
Jan 16, 2021 6pm
Aug 29, 2020 2pm
Jan 24, 2020 7pm
Gameweek 21
Caen
0-1
Ajaccio
