Ligue 2 | Gameweek 2
Aug 12, 2023 at 6pm UK
Stade Michel d'Ornano
Caen2 - 0Pau
Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Caen and Pau.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Paris FC 0-2 Caen
Saturday, August 5 at 6pm in Ligue 2
Saturday, August 5 at 6pm in Ligue 2
Last Game: Pau 3-0 Bordeaux
Monday, August 7 at 7.45pm in Ligue 2
Monday, August 7 at 7.45pm in Ligue 2
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caen win with a probability of 42.5%. A win for Pau had a probability of 30.45% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Caen win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (7.87%). The likeliest Pau win was 0-1 (9.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Caen would win this match.
Result | ||
Caen | Draw | Pau |
42.5% ( -0.02) | 27.05% ( 0) | 30.45% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 49.45% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.37% ( -0) | 55.63% ( 0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.21% ( -0) | 76.79% ( 0) |
Caen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.11% ( -0.01) | 25.89% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.13% ( -0.02) | 60.87% ( 0.02) |
Pau Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.72% ( 0.01) | 33.28% ( -0.01) |