Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Annecy win with a probability of 35.48%. A win for Caen had a probability of 35.02% and a draw had a probability of 29.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Annecy win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.28%) and 2-0 (6.79%). The likeliest Caen win was 0-1 (12.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Annecy would win this match.