Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Amiens win with a probability of 52.28%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Valenciennes had a probability of 20.36%.
The most likely scoreline for an Amiens win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.28%) and 2-1 (8.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.26%), while for a Valenciennes win it was 0-1 (8.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Amiens would win this match.