Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 65.73%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Strasbourg had a probability of 14.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.37%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.27%), while for a Strasbourg win it was 0-1 (4.35%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.