Ligue 1 | Gameweek 13
Dec 1, 2024 at 4pm UK
Parc Olympique Lyonnais
Lyon4 - 1Nice
We said: Lyon 2-1 Nice
Lyon will be keen to focus on the pitch and pick up three points against Nice, while Les Aiglons will want to give a response to Thursday's humiliating result in Europe. However, Nice's injury list may prove too large to overcome on Sunday, and Lyon are likely to get the win over their league rivals. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 49.04%. A win for Nice had a probability of 27.44% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.72%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest Nice win was 1-2 (6.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.9%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lyon | Draw | Nice |
49.04% ( -0.67) | 23.51% ( 0.15) | 27.44% ( 0.51) |
| Both teams to score 58.91% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.61% ( -0.31) | 42.38% ( 0.3) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.2% ( -0.31) | 64.79% ( 0.3) |
| Lyon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.55% ( -0.37) | 17.44% ( 0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 52.1% ( -0.64) | 47.9% ( 0.64) |
| Nice Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.36% ( 0.22) | 28.63% ( -0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.56% ( 0.27) | 64.44% ( -0.28) |
| Score Analysis |
Lyon 49.04%
Nice 27.44%
Draw 23.51%
| Lyon | Draw | Nice |
| 2-1 @ 9.52% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 8.72% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.61% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 5.54% ( -0.09)3-0 @ 4.43% ( -0.1)3-2 @ 3.47% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 2.42% ( -0.07)4-0 @ 1.94% ( -0.07)4-2 @ 1.51% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.87% Total : 49.04% | 1-1 @ 10.9% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 5.96% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 4.99% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 1.45% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.51% | 1-2 @ 6.82% ( 0.09) 0-1 @ 6.25% ( 0.12)0-2 @ 3.91% ( 0.1)1-3 @ 2.84% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 2.48% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.63% ( 0.05)Other @ 3.51% Total : 27.44% |
How you voted: Lyon vs Nice
Lyon
65.0%Draw
30.0%Nice
5.0%60
Head to Head
Feb 16, 2024 8pm
Aug 27, 2023 7.45pm
Nov 11, 2022 8pm
Feb 12, 2022 8pm
