Liga MX | Gameweek 14
Sep 11, 2022 at 3.05am UK
Estadio Nemesio Diez
Toluca2 - 2Pumas
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Toluca and Pumas.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Tigres 3-1 Toluca
Thursday, September 8 at 1am in Liga MX
Thursday, September 8 at 1am in Liga MX
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
5 | Tigres | 13 | 6 | 24 |
6 | Toluca | 14 | 1 | 22 |
7 | CD Guadalajara | 13 | 6 | 19 |
Last Game: Pumas 4-1 Queretaro
Thursday, September 8 at 3.05am in Liga MX
Thursday, September 8 at 3.05am in Liga MX
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
14 | Juarez | 14 | -2 | 13 |
15 | Pumas | 13 | -6 | 13 |
16 | Cruz Azul | 13 | -13 | 12 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 50.63%. A win for Pumas had a probability of 25.11% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.61%) and 2-0 (8.71%). The likeliest Pumas win was 0-1 (6.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Toluca | Draw | Pumas |
50.63% ( 0.08) | 24.26% ( -0.02) | 25.11% ( -0.05) |
Both teams to score 54.26% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.45% ( 0.06) | 47.54% ( -0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.25% ( 0.06) | 69.75% ( -0.05) |
Toluca Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.2% ( 0.05) | 18.8% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.78% ( 0.09) | 50.21% ( -0.09) |
Pumas Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.83% ( -0.01) | 33.17% ( 0.01) |