Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Puebla and Cruz Azul.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Tigres 1-0 Puebla
Sunday, October 6 at 12am in Liga MX
Sunday, October 6 at 12am in Liga MX
Goals
for
for
15
Last Game: Cruz Azul 3-0 Necaxa
Sunday, October 6 at 12am in Liga MX
Sunday, October 6 at 12am in Liga MX
Goals
for
for
32
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruz Azul win with a probability of 63.1%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Puebla had a probability of 15.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cruz Azul win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.29%) and 1-2 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.99%), while for a Puebla win it was 1-0 (5.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cruz Azul would win this match.
Result | ||
Puebla | Draw | Cruz Azul |
15.88% ( 0.22) | 21.02% ( 0.12) | 63.1% ( -0.33) |
Both teams to score 50.19% ( 0.12) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.22% ( -0.1) | 45.77% ( 0.1) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.91% ( -0.09) | 68.09% ( 0.09) |
Puebla Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.27% ( 0.22) | 41.73% ( -0.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.8% ( 0.2) | 78.2% ( -0.19) |
Cruz Azul Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.13% ( -0.13) | 13.87% ( 0.13) |