Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pachuca win with a probability of 62.95%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Queretaro had a probability of 14.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pachuca win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.96%) and 2-1 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.47%), while for a Queretaro win it was 0-1 (5.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.
