Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pachuca win with a probability of 50.76%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Pumas had a probability of 23.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pachuca win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.56%) and 2-1 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.04%), while for a Pumas win it was 0-1 (7.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood.