Liga MX | Gameweek 5

Jul 27, 2022 at 3.05am UK

Estadio Leon

Club Leon
0 - 1
Toluca

Ambriz (17'), Montes (27'), Di Yorio (36'), Barreiro (85'), Bellon (90+4'), Rodriguez (90+6')
Ambriz (53')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Alvarez (90')
Navarro (26'), Sierra (27')

Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Club Leon and Toluca.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Leon win with a probability of 63.39%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Toluca had a probability of 15.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Club Leon win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.6%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.04%), while for a Toluca win it was 0-1 (5.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.

Result
Club Leon	Draw	Toluca
63.39% ( -0.06)	21.11% ( 0.06)	15.5% ( 0)

Both teams to score 49.02% (

-0.18)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.12% (

-0.24)

46.88% (

0.24)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.86% (

-0.22)

69.13% (

0.22)

Club Leon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.86% (

-0.1)

14.13% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.21% (

-0.19)

41.79% (

0.19)

Toluca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.09% (

-0.14)

42.9% (

0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.79% (

-0.12)

79.21% (

0.12)

Score Analysis

Club Leon 63.38%

Toluca 15.5%

Draw 21.11%

Club Leon	Draw	Toluca
1-0 @ 11.86% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 11.6% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.82% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 7.57% ( -0) 3-1 @ 6.41% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 3.7% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 3.13% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.71% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 1.45% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.33% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.23% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.57% Total : 63.38%	1-1 @ 10.04% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.07% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 4.16% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.85% Total : 21.11%	0-1 @ 5.13% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 4.25% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.17% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.58% Total : 15.5%