Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlas win with a probability of 39.45%. A win for Pumas had a probability of 34.06% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atlas win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.47%) and 2-0 (6.89%). The likeliest Pumas win was 0-1 (9.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atlas would win this match.