Serie B | Gameweek 19
Dec 26, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stadio Alberto Picco
Spezia1 - 1Modena
Gelashvili (90+2')
Candelari (1'), Kouda (27')
Candelari (1'), Kouda (27')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Palumbo (64' pen.)
Magnino (7'), Duca (45+3'), Cotali (66')
Magnino (7'), Duca (45+3'), Cotali (66')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Spezia and Modena.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Cittadella 4-1 Spezia
Saturday, December 23 at 1pm in Serie B
Saturday, December 23 at 1pm in Serie B
Goals
for
for
15
Last Game: Cremonese 4-0 Modena
Saturday, December 23 at 1pm in Serie B
Saturday, December 23 at 1pm in Serie B
Goals
for
for
18
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spezia win with a probability of 46.96%. A win for Modena had a probability of 27.16% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spezia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (8.58%). The likeliest Modena win was 0-1 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Spezia | Draw | Modena |
46.96% ( 0.01) | 25.88% ( -0) | 27.16% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 51.01% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.32% ( 0.01) | 52.68% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.67% ( 0.01) | 74.32% ( -0.01) |
Spezia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.58% ( 0.01) | 22.42% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.05% ( 0.02) | 55.94% ( -0.02) |
Modena Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.75% ( -0) | 34.25% ( 0) |