Serie B | Gameweek 18
Dec 23, 2023 at 1pm UK
Stadio Pier Cesare Tombolato
Cittadella4 - 1Spezia
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Cittadella and Spezia.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Modena 1-1 Cittadella
Saturday, December 16 at 1pm in Serie B
Saturday, December 16 at 1pm in Serie B
Goals
for
for
21
Last Game: Spezia 1-0 Bari
Friday, December 15 at 7.30pm in Serie B
Friday, December 15 at 7.30pm in Serie B
Goals
for
for
14
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cittadella win with a probability of 44.3%. A win for Spezia had a probability of 28% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cittadella win was 1-0 with a probability of 13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.64%) and 2-1 (8.6%). The likeliest Spezia win was 0-1 (9.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cittadella would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cittadella | Draw | Spezia |
44.3% ( 0.09) | 27.7% ( -0) | 28% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 46.34% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
