Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Como win with a probability of 48.87%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 23.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Como win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.07%) and 2-1 (8.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.65%), while for a Hellas Verona win it was 0-1 (9.18%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Como would win this match.
Result | ||
Como | Draw | Hellas Verona |
48.87% ( 0.29) | 27.57% ( 0.07) | 23.56% ( -0.36) |
Both teams to score 43.31% ( -0.51) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
38.9% ( -0.47) | 61.1% ( 0.47) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
18.93% ( -0.36) | 81.07% ( 0.35) |
Como Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.8% ( -0.07) | 25.19% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.07% ( -0.11) | 59.93% ( 0.1) |
Hellas Verona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.9% ( -0.62) | 42.09% ( 0.62) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.48% ( -0.54) | 78.51% ( 0.54) |
Score Analysis |
Como | Draw | Hellas Verona |
1-0 @ 14.61% ( 0.22) 2-0 @ 10.07% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 8.72% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 4.63% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 4.01% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.73% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.6% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.38% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.11% Total : 48.85% | 1-1 @ 12.65% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 10.6% ( 0.19) 2-2 @ 3.77% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.54% Total : 27.56% | 0-1 @ 9.18% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 5.47% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 3.97% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 1.58% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.13% Total : 23.56% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 5 | 13 | 25 |
2 | Inter Milan | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 24 | 13 | 11 | 21 |
3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 26 | 14 | 12 | 19 |
4 | Fiorentina | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 21 | 9 | 12 | 19 |
5 | Lazio | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 13 | 9 | 19 |
6 | Juventus | 10 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 18 |
7 | Udinese | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 16 |
8 | AC Milan | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 14 |
9 | Torino | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 14 |
10 | Roma | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 13 |
11 | Bologna | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 12 |
12 | Empoli | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 11 |
13 | Como | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 9 |
14 | CagliariCagliari | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 9 |
15 | Parma | 10 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 9 |
16 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 13 | 22 | -9 | 9 |
17 | Monza | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 8 |
18 | VeneziaVenezia | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 8 |
19 | Lecce | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 19 | -15 | 8 |
20 | Genoa | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 21 | -14 | 6 |
> Serie A Full Table |