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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 56.96%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 20.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.79%) and 2-0 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.41%), while for an Accrington Stanley win it was 1-2 (5.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for MK Dons in this match.
Result | ||
MK Dons | Draw | Accrington Stanley |
56.96% ( 0.41) | 22.18% ( 0.06) | 20.85% ( -0.48) |
Both teams to score 55.72% ( -0.95) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.95% ( -0.92) | 43.05% ( 0.92) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.55% ( -0.91) | 65.45% ( 0.91) |
MK Dons Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.1% ( -0.18) | 14.9% ( 0.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.73% ( -0.34) | 43.27% ( 0.34) |
Accrington Stanley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.48% ( -0.98) | 34.52% ( 0.98) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.77% ( -1.06) | 71.23% ( 1.06) |
Score Analysis |
MK Dons | Draw | Accrington Stanley |
2-1 @ 9.91% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 9.79% ( 0.33) 2-0 @ 9.32% ( 0.26) 3-1 @ 6.29% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 5.91% ( 0.13) 3-2 @ 3.35% ( -0.11) 4-1 @ 2.99% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 2.82% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.59% ( -0.06) 5-1 @ 1.14% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 1.07% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.77% Total : 56.96% | 1-1 @ 10.41% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 5.27% ( -0.14) 0-0 @ 5.14% ( 0.21) 3-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.16% Total : 22.18% | 1-2 @ 5.54% ( -0.11) 0-1 @ 5.47% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 2.91% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 1.97% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 1.87% ( -0.1) 0-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.06% Total : 20.85% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 28 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 28 |
4 | Walsall | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 15 | 12 | 27 |
5 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
6 | Notts County | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 25 |
8 | AFC Wimbledon | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 23 |
9 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
10 | Gillingham | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 23 |
11 | Chesterfield | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 22 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Newport CountyNewport | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 20 |
16 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 18 |
17 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 18 |
18 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 18 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 17 |
20 | Bromley | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 14 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 13 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 12 |
24 | Morecambe | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 10 |
> League Two Full Table |