League Two | Gameweek 28
Jan 25, 2025 at 3pm UK
Highbury Stadium
Fleetwood1 - 2Carlisle
Coverage of the League Two clash between Fleetwood Town and Carlisle United.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Fleetwood 2-1 MK Dons
Tuesday, January 21 at 7.45pm in League Two
Tuesday, January 21 at 7.45pm in League Two
Goals
for
for
32
Last Game: Carlisle 0-1 Bradford
Saturday, January 18 at 12.30pm in League Two
Saturday, January 18 at 12.30pm in League Two
Goals
for
for
19
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fleetwood Town win with a probability of 43.44%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 29.51% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fleetwood Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.73%) and 2-0 (8.13%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 0-1 (9.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Fleetwood Town | Draw | Carlisle United |
43.44% ( -0.01) | 27.05% ( 0.02) | 29.51% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 49% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.01% ( -0.05) | 55.98% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.92% ( -0.05) | 77.08% ( 0.04) |
| Fleetwood Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.44% ( -0.03) | 25.56% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.57% ( -0.04) | 60.43% ( 0.04) |
| Carlisle United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.83% ( -0.03) | 34.17% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.13% ( -0.04) | 70.86% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
Fleetwood Town 43.44%
Carlisle United 29.51%
Draw 27.05%
| Fleetwood Town | Draw | Carlisle United |
| 1-0 @ 11.91% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.73% ( -0)2-0 @ 8.13% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.97% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.7% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.13% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.35% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.26% ( -0)Other @ 2.27% Total : 43.44% | 1-1 @ 12.79% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.74% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 4.69% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.84% Total : 27.05% | 0-1 @ 9.38% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.87% ( -0)0-2 @ 5.04% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.46% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.8% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.68% ( -0)Other @ 2.29% Total : 29.51% |
Form Guide
