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Wycombe Wanderers
Wycombe Wanderers
League One | Gameweek 43
Apr 10, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Adams Park
Derby logo

Wycombe
0 - 0
Derby


Sadlier (67')
FT

Smith (29')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's League One clash between Wycombe Wanderers and Derby County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Portsmouth 2-2 Derby
Tuesday, April 2 at 8pm in League One

We said: Wycombe Wanderers 1-2 Derby County

As Wycombe could carry a Wembley hangover into Wednesday's game, a well-rested Derby County side should take advantage and improve their promotion prospects. With several players potentially back at Paul Warne's disposal, the Rams can bolster a fine record on the road. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 49.65%. A win for Wycombe Wanderers had a probability of 25.47% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.49%) and 0-2 (8.82%). The likeliest Wycombe Wanderers win was 1-0 (7.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.

Result
Wycombe WanderersDrawDerby County
25.47% (-0.055 -0.05) 24.87% (-0.052 -0.05) 49.65% (0.1 0.1)
Both teams to score 52.69% (0.10299999999999 0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.2% (0.162 0.16)49.79% (-0.168 -0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.2% (0.144 0.14)71.79% (-0.152 -0.15)
Wycombe Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.92% (0.037999999999997 0.04)34.08% (-0.044999999999995 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.24% (0.045999999999999 0.05)70.76% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.92% (0.104 0.1)20.07% (-0.111 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.69% (0.171 0.17)52.3% (-0.178 -0.18)
Score Analysis
    Wycombe Wanderers 25.47%
    Derby County 49.65%
    Draw 24.87%
Wycombe WanderersDrawDerby County
1-0 @ 7.36% (-0.040999999999999 -0.04)
2-1 @ 6.37% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 3.96% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-1 @ 2.28% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 1.83% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.42% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 25.47%
1-1 @ 11.82% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 6.84% (-0.047 -0.05)
2-2 @ 5.11% (0.013 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.98% (0.007 0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.87%
0-1 @ 10.98% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
1-2 @ 9.49% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
0-2 @ 8.82%
1-3 @ 5.08% (0.023 0.02)
0-3 @ 4.72% (0.016 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.74% (0.016 0.02)
1-4 @ 2.04% (0.016 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.9% (0.013 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.1% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 49.65%

How you voted: Wycombe vs Derby

Wycombe Wanderers
3.8%
Draw
18.9%
Derby County
77.4%
53
Head to Head
Dec 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 22
Derby
1-1
Wycombe
Barkhuizen (83')
Sibley (14'), Mendez-Laing (15'), Hourihane (20'), Collins (30'), Bird (31')
Leahy (90+8' pen.)
Leahy (30'), Forino-Joseph (51'), Vokes (82')
Feb 11, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 31
Wycombe
3-2
Derby
Vokes (11'), Wing (77', 86')
Collins (66'), Dobbin (89')
Sep 17, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 10
Derby
2-1
Wycombe
Hourihane (72', 86')
Mehmeti (15')
Feb 16, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 30
Wycombe
1-2
Derby
Ikpeazu (48' pen.)
Allsop (16'), Stewart (53')
Ikpeazu (16' og.), Wisdom (90+4')
Mengi (63'), Wisdom (69')
Nov 28, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 14
Derby
1-1
Wycombe
Holmes (36')
Bloomfield (81')
Kashket (31')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe14102232161632
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1393124121230
3Wrexham1584322111128
4Stockport CountyStockport167632617927
5Barnsley157532419526
6Lincoln CityLincoln157532117426
7Mansfield TownMansfield137332015524
8Huddersfield TownHuddersfield147252114723
9Exeter CityExeter147251410423
10Reading147252221123
11Bolton WanderersBolton147252224-223
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough156363127421
13Charlton AthleticCharlton145451515019
14Bristol Rovers155371621-518
15Stevenage155371116-518
16Northampton TownNorthampton154561821-317
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham154561418-417
18Blackpool154562128-717
19Wigan AthleticWigan143561212014
20Leyton Orient144281418-414
21Crawley TownCrawley163491427-1313
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge143291324-1111
23Burton Albion141581525-108
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1522111327-148


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