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League One
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League One | Gameweek 41
Mar 29, 2024 at 3pm UK
Pride Park Stadium
Blackpool

Derby
1 - 0
Blackpool

Adams (40')
Sibley (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Dembele (33'), Critchley (34'), Coulson (60'), Norburn (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League One clash between Derby County and Blackpool, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Derby County

All competitions
Last Game: Northampton 1-0 Derby
Saturday, March 23 at 3pm in League One

Blackpool

All competitions
Last Game: Wigan 1-0 Blackpool
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in League One

We said: Derby County 2-1 Blackpool

 Derby remain without a number of first-team players, but the Rams still have a lot of quality in their team, and we are backing them to edge a close game on Friday afternoon, with Blackpool likely to suffer if they are unable to call upon leading goalscorer Rhodes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 50.48%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Blackpool had a probability of 23.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.68%) and 2-1 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.17%), while for a Blackpool win it was 0-1 (7.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Derby County in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Derby County.

Result
Derby CountyDrawBlackpool
50.48% (0.196 0.2) 25.73% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05) 23.79% (-0.145 -0.15)
Both teams to score 48.45%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.45% (0.075000000000003 0.08)54.55% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.1% (0.061 0.06)75.9% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.35% (0.11499999999999 0.11)21.64% (-0.116 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.23% (0.177 0.18)54.77% (-0.18 -0.18)
Blackpool Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.83% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)38.17% (0.089999999999996 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.06% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)74.93% (0.087000000000003 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Derby County 50.48%
    Blackpool 23.79%
    Draw 25.73%
Derby CountyDrawBlackpool
1-0 @ 12.64% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 9.68% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.32% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
3-0 @ 4.94% (0.038 0.04)
3-1 @ 4.75% (0.023999999999999 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.29% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.89% (0.021 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.82% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 50.48%
1-1 @ 12.17% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 8.26% (-0.025 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.49% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 25.73%
0-1 @ 7.96% (-0.044 -0.04)
1-2 @ 5.86% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-2 @ 3.83% (-0.03 -0.03)
1-3 @ 1.88% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.44% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 1.23% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 1.58%
Total : 23.79%

How you voted: Derby vs Blackpool

Derby County
72.0%
Draw
16.0%
Blackpool
12.0%
25
Head to Head
Oct 3, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Blackpool
1-3
Derby
Dougall (73')
Connolly (30')
Smith (54'), Collins (71'), Waghorn (89')
Forsyth (32')
> Preview
Aug 8, 2023 7.45pm
First Round
Derby
0-2
Blackpool

Forsyth (55')
Beesley (7', 32')
Trybull (84'), O'Donnell (88')
Apr 30, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 45
Blackpool
0-2
Derby

Connolly (81')
Ebiowei (73'), Cashin (82')
Davies (84'), Ebosele (88')
> Preview
Dec 11, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 22
Derby
1-0
Blackpool
Plange (51')
Jozwiak (54'), Lawrence (75')

Carey (42'), Anderson (54')
> Preview
Apr 14, 2015 7.45pm
Derby
4-0
Blackpool
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe14102232161632
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1393124121230
3Wrexham1584322111128
4Stockport CountyStockport167632617927
5Barnsley157532419526
6Lincoln CityLincoln157532117426
7Mansfield TownMansfield137332015524
8Huddersfield TownHuddersfield147252114723
9Exeter CityExeter147251410423
10Reading147252221123
11Bolton WanderersBolton147252224-223
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough156363127421
13Charlton AthleticCharlton145451515019
14Bristol Rovers155371621-518
15Stevenage155371116-518
16Northampton TownNorthampton154561821-317
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham154561418-417
18Blackpool154562128-717
19Wigan AthleticWigan143561212014
20Leyton Orient144281418-414
21Crawley TownCrawley163491427-1313
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge143291324-1111
23Burton Albion141581525-108
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1522111327-148
> League One Full Table


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