Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 40.9%. A win for Portsmouth had a probability of 32.82% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.66%) and 0-2 (7.14%). The likeliest Portsmouth win was 1-0 (9.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.