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Oxford United
League One | Gameweek 31
Feb 3, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
The Kassam Stadium
Reading logo

Oxford Utd
1 - 1
Reading

Harris (32')
Goodrham (65')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Brown (76' og.)
Craig (24'), Yiadom (63'), Azeez (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Oxford United and Reading, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Oxford United 0-1 Reading

Oxford United will be the favourites walking into this weekend due to the league positions of each club, but recent form tells a different story. Reading have been grinding out results against some of League One's strongest teams lately, and Saturday could provide another upset. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 46.51%. A win for Reading had a probability of 29.53% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.63%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest Reading win was 1-2 (7.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.

Result
Oxford UnitedDrawReading
46.51% (-0.13500000000001 -0.14) 23.96% (0.018999999999998 0.02) 29.53% (0.113 0.11)
Both teams to score 58.92% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.93% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)43.07% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.53% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)65.47% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.3% (-0.066999999999993 -0.07)18.7% (0.065000000000001 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.94% (-0.11 -0.11)50.06% (0.108 0.11)
Reading Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.47% (0.064000000000007 0.06)27.52% (-0.065999999999999 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.96% (0.082000000000001 0.08)63.03% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Oxford United 46.51%
    Reading 29.53%
    Draw 23.96%
Oxford UnitedDrawReading
2-1 @ 9.33% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.63% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.23% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-1 @ 5.22% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
3-0 @ 4.04% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.36% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.19% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.69% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.41% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 46.51%
1-1 @ 11.13% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.02% (0.0029999999999992 0)
0-0 @ 5.15% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.45% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 23.96%
1-2 @ 7.18% (0.019 0.02)
0-1 @ 6.64% (0.02 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.28% (0.021 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.09% (0.014 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.59% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.84% (0.012 0.01)
1-4 @ 1% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 29.53%

How you voted: Oxford Utd vs Reading

Oxford United
66.7%
Draw
11.1%
Reading
22.2%
18
Head to Head
Dec 12, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 13
Reading
1-1
Oxford Utd
Smith (43')
Craig (19'), Holmes (51')
Brown (39')
Thorniley (37')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Cowboys
20-15
Giants
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wrexham7511146816
2Birmingham CityBirmingham6510136716
3Barnsley74121210213
4Charlton AthleticCharlton741275213
5Huddersfield TownHuddersfield7403118312
6Lincoln CityLincoln6321106411
7Stockport CountyStockport6321106411
8Peterborough UnitedPeterborough73221211111
9Blackpool73221313011
10Mansfield TownMansfield63211111011
11Wycombe WanderersWycombe63121210210
12Exeter CityExeter63038629
13Northampton TownNorthampton62228718
14Wigan AthleticWigan72236518
15Stevenage72235508
16Leyton Orient7214911-27
17Reading6213710-37
18Crawley TownCrawley621358-37
19Bolton WanderersBolton6213711-47
20Bristol Rovers7214611-57
21Rotherham UnitedRotherham713359-46
22Burton Albion6042810-24
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury7106512-73
24Cambridge UnitedCambridge6015613-71


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