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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 46.51%. A win for Reading had a probability of 29.53% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.63%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest Reading win was 1-2 (7.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Oxford United | Draw | Reading |
46.51% ( -0.14) | 23.96% ( 0.02) | 29.53% ( 0.11) |
Both teams to score 58.92% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.93% ( -0.03) | 43.07% ( 0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.53% ( -0.03) | 65.47% ( 0.03) |
Oxford United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.3% ( -0.07) | 18.7% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.94% ( -0.11) | 50.06% ( 0.11) |
Reading Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.47% ( 0.06) | 27.52% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.96% ( 0.08) | 63.03% ( -0.08) |
Score Analysis |
Oxford United | Draw | Reading |
2-1 @ 9.33% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.63% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.23% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 5.22% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 4.04% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.36% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.19% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.69% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.41% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.4% Total : 46.51% | 1-1 @ 11.13% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.02% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.15% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.45% ( 0) Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.96% | 1-2 @ 7.18% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 6.64% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 4.28% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3.09% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.59% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.84% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.9% Total : 29.53% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wrexham | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 16 |
2 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 16 |
3 | Barnsley | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 13 |
4 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 13 |
5 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 12 |
6 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 11 |
7 | Stockport CountyStockport | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 11 |
8 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 11 |
9 | Blackpool | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 11 |
10 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 11 |
11 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 10 |
12 | Exeter CityExeter | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 9 |
13 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 8 |
14 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 8 |
15 | Stevenage | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 8 |
16 | Leyton Orient | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 7 |
17 | Reading | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 7 |
18 | Crawley TownCrawley | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 7 |
19 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 7 |
20 | Bristol Rovers | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 7 |
21 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 6 |
22 | Burton Albion | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 4 |
23 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 3 |
24 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 1 |
> League One Full Table |