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Dundalk
League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 21
Jun 13, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Oriel Park
Sligo Rovers

Dundalk
1 - 0
Sligo

Horgan (54')
Elliott (25'), Durrant (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Wiggett (37')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's League of Ireland Premier clash between Dundalk and Sligo Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dundalk

All competitions
Last Game: Shelbourne 1-0 Dundalk
Friday, June 7 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier

Sligo Rovers

All competitions
Last Game: Waterford 4-1 Sligo
Friday, June 7 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier

We said: Dundalk 1-0 Sligo Rovers

 Since Daly assumed control of the squad, Dundalk have only been defeated by league leaders Shelbourne, so the Lilywhites should be confident of collecting a positive result on Thursday night. Last week's heavy defeat at Waterford raised plenty of concerns from those of a Sligo persuasion, and we feel that it could get worse before it gets better for Rovers this month. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundalk win with a probability of 47.85%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Sligo Rovers had a probability of 24.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dundalk win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.89%) and 2-1 (8.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.77%), while for a Sligo Rovers win it was 0-1 (9.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Dundalk in this match.

Result
DundalkDrawSligo Rovers
47.85% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02) 27.97% (0.021999999999998 0.02) 24.18% (0.004999999999999 0)
Both teams to score 42.88% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.04% (-0.064 -0.06)61.96% (0.066000000000003 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.29% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)81.71% (0.046999999999997 0.05)
Dundalk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.92% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)26.08% (0.040999999999997 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.87% (-0.055 -0.05)61.14% (0.057000000000002 0.06)
Sligo Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.01% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)41.99% (0.034999999999997 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.57% (-0.029 -0.03)78.43% (0.030999999999992 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Dundalk 47.85%
    Sligo Rovers 24.18%
    Draw 27.96%
DundalkDrawSligo Rovers
1-0 @ 14.72% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 9.89%
2-1 @ 8.58% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.43% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 3.84% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.67% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.49% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 1.29% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 47.85%
1-1 @ 12.77% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 10.95% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 3.72% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 27.96%
0-1 @ 9.5% (0.014999999999999 0.01)
1-2 @ 5.54% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
0-2 @ 4.12% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 1.6% (-0.002 -0)
0-3 @ 1.19% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.08% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.14%
Total : 24.18%

How you voted: Dundalk vs Sligo

Dundalk
73.1%
Draw
19.2%
Sligo Rovers
7.7%
26
Head to Head
Apr 19, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Sligo
1-1
Dundalk
Hartmann (16')
Wiggett (28'), Wilson (48'), McGinty (78')
Gullan (49' pen.)
Benson (28'), Bradshaw (75'), Kenny (82'), Johnson (86')
Mar 4, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Dundalk
0-5
Sligo

Bradshaw (15'), Muller (68')
Chapman (7', 33'), Hartmann (14'), Mata (39', 62')
Hutchinson (18'), Malley (24')
Oct 20, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 34
Sligo
0-2
Dundalk

Cawley (39'), Hartmann (56'), Burton (58'), Barlow (80'), Liivak (80'), Bolger (90+1')
Burton (58')
Horgan (19'), Durrant (88')
Davies (39')
Aug 11, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 27
Dundalk
1-0
Sligo
Kelly (10')
Annesley (35'), Malley (85'), Davies (90+5')

Browning (51'), Alves Correia (60')
May 6, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 14
Sligo
0-1
Dundalk
Ward (84')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Shelbourne361712740271363
2Shamrock RoversShamrock361710950351561
3St Patrick's AthleticSt Patrick's361781151371459
4Derry CityDerry361413948311755
5Galway United361313103329452
6Sligo RoversSligo361310134051-1149
7Waterford UnitedWaterford36136174347-445
8Bohemians361012143943-442
9Drogheda UnitedDrogheda36713164158-1734
10DundalkDundalk36511202350-2726
> League of Ireland Premier Full Table


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