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St Patrick's Athletic
League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 19
Jun 3, 2024 at 5.15pm UK
Richmond Park
Dundalk

St Patrick's
2 - 3
Dundalk

Forrester (27' pen.), Lennon (35')
Redmond (16'), Melia (58')
FT(HT: 2-3)
Gullan (2', 22'), O'Kane (4')
Doyle (18'), Davies (51'), Johnson (62'), Horgan (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League of Ireland Premier clash between St Patrick's Athletic and Dundalk, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: St Patrick's 2-1 Galway United
Friday, May 31 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Dundalk 0-0 Derry
Friday, May 31 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier

We said: St Patrick's Athletic 1-0 Dundalk

After getting off the mark in the St Patrick's hotseat last time out, Kenny will be confident of recording back-to-back home wins by beating a Dundalk side who are yet to earn three points on their travels. The Lilywhites are set to be an improved force under Daly, but we cannot imagine the visitors earning anything on Monday night at Richmond Park. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Patrick's Athletic win with a probability of 45.33%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Dundalk had a probability of 27.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Patrick's Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.8%) and 2-1 (8.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.82%), while for a Dundalk win it was 0-1 (9.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.

Result
St Patrick's AthleticDrawDundalk
45.33% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09) 27.34% (0.014000000000003 0.01) 27.32% (0.080000000000002 0.08)
Both teams to score 46.89% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.93% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)58.06% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.26% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)78.74% (0.0040000000000049 0)
St Patrick's Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.45% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)25.55% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.58% (-0.067 -0.07)60.41% (0.067 0.07)
Dundalk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.98% (0.064 0.06)37.02% (-0.064 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.19% (0.061999999999998 0.06)73.8% (-0.064000000000007 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    St Patrick's Athletic 45.33%
    Dundalk 27.32%
    Draw 27.34%
St Patrick's AthleticDrawDundalk
1-0 @ 12.9% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 8.8% (-0.023999999999999 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.75% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.01% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.98% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.98% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.37% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.36% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 45.33%
1-1 @ 12.82% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 9.46% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-2 @ 4.35% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 27.34%
0-1 @ 9.4% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
1-2 @ 6.37% (0.014 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.67% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.11% (0.008 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.55% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.44% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 27.32%

How you voted: St Patrick's vs Dundalk

St Patrick's Athletic
90.5%
Draw
4.8%
Dundalk
4.8%
21
Head to Head
Apr 12, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
Dundalk
0-0
St Patrick's
Bradshaw (63'), Benson (90+5')
Nolan (61'), Daly (62')
Mar 8, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 5
St Patrick's
1-0
Dundalk
Keating (30')
Lennon (90+4'), Nolan (90+2')

Benson (48'), Oostenbrink (68'), Mahon (90+1')
Sep 22, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 31
St Patrick's
3-1
Dundalk
Lonergan (49', 57'), Melia (90+8' pen.)
Carty (71'), Doyle (90')
Kelly (75')
Davies (18'), Muller (55'), Benson (61')
Benson (83')
Jun 26, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
Dundalk
1-1
St Patrick's
Kelly (84')
Tulloch (53'), McCourt (53'), Kelly (90+2'), Hoban (90+5')
Tulloch (55')
Carty (33')
Lennon (17'), Forrester (66'), Timmermans (90+3')
May 26, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 17
St Patrick's
2-1
Dundalk
Doyle (30'), Carty (79')
Lennon (28'), Forrester (54')
Mulraney (53')
Tulloch (48')
Doyle (29'), Malley (53'), Wasiri Williams (71'), Lewis (90')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Shelbourne361712740271363
2Shamrock RoversShamrock361710950351561
3St Patrick's AthleticSt Patrick's361781151371459
4Derry CityDerry361413948311755
5Galway United361313103329452
6Sligo RoversSligo361310134051-1149
7Waterford UnitedWaterford36136174347-445
8Bohemians361012143943-442
9Drogheda UnitedDrogheda36713164158-1734
10DundalkDundalk36511202350-2726


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