MX23RW : Tuesday, December 24 18:53:03| >> :300:86500:86500:
St Patrick's Athletic
League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 25
May 20, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Richmond Park
Shelbourne

St Patrick's
1 - 2
Shelbourne

Mulraney (73')
Lennon (19'), McLaughlin (70'), Keeley (80'), Rogers (90+7')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Boyd (14'), Caffrey (90+6')
O'Sullivan (45+2'), Coyle (72'), Barrett (81'), Caffrey (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League of Ireland Premier clash between St Patrick's Athletic and Shelbourne, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: St Patrick's 0-1 Derry
Friday, May 17 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Shelbourne 1-0 Waterford
Friday, May 17 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier

We said: St Patrick's Athletic 1-1 Shelbourne

While six places and 12 points separate Monday's foes in the standings, their two previous meetings this term have been close-run affairs, and St Patrick's home exploits were applaudable before Friday's reverse. Factoring in Shelbourne's recent problems on the road, as well as the fact that both sides also working around limited recovery time, a tightly-fought stalemate could be on the cards. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shelbourne win with a probability of 35.65%. A win for St Patrick's Athletic had a probability of 35.56% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shelbourne win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.5%) and 0-2 (6.68%). The likeliest St Patrick's Athletic win was 1-0 (11.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shelbourne would win this match.

Result
St Patrick's AthleticDrawShelbourne
35.56% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09) 28.78% (0.0030000000000001 0) 35.65% (0.077999999999996 0.08)
Both teams to score 45.48% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.92% (-0.012 -0.01)61.08% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.94% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)81.05% (0.0049999999999955 0)
St Patrick's Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.41% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)32.58% (0.056999999999995 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.88% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)69.12% (0.064999999999998 0.06)
Shelbourne Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.47% (0.045000000000002 0.05)32.53% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.94% (0.050000000000001 0.05)69.06% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    St Patrick's Athletic 35.56%
    Shelbourne 35.65%
    Draw 28.77%
St Patrick's AthleticDrawShelbourne
1-0 @ 11.88% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 7.48% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.66% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-1 @ 2.8% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.49% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.57% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 35.56%
1-1 @ 13.34%
0-0 @ 10.59%
2-2 @ 4.2% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 28.77%
0-1 @ 11.9% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 7.5% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.68% (0.019 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.81% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.5% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.57% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 35.65%

How you voted: St Patrick's vs Shelbourne

St Patrick's Athletic
45.5%
Draw
45.5%
Shelbourne
9.1%
11
Head to Head
Apr 26, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 12
Shelbourne
1-0
St Patrick's
Martin (33')
Duff (19')

Lennon (18'), McLaughlin (48'), Bolger (72'), Keeley (82'), Nolan (85')
Mar 15, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 6
St Patrick's
1-2
Shelbourne
Mulraney (71')
Kavanagh (35'), Breslin (65'), Sjoberg (80')
Jarvis (48', 58')
Coyle (29'), Burt (51'), Wilson (59'), O'Sullivan (90+3'), Lunney (90+5'), Farrell (90+7')
Sep 1, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 29
Shelbourne
2-1
St Patrick's
Cabral (80'), Barrett (90')
Duff (25'), Coyle (31'), Barrett (36'), Wood (90+4')
Redmond (20')
McGrath (24'), Breslin (35'), Lennon (55')
McGrath (65')
Jun 23, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 21
St Patrick's
1-0
Shelbourne
Mulraney (69')
McCormack (41'), Mulraney (48'), Curtis (58'), Arubi (63'), Doyle (89')

Duff (42'), Griffin (51'), Coyle (58'), Boyd (58'), Wilson (58')
Duff (0')
May 19, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 16
Shelbourne
0-1
St Patrick's

Hakiki (70'), Ross Wilson (73'), Smith (90+5')
Curtis (57')
Lennon (72'), Sjoberg (76'), Timmermans (90+5')
rhs 2.0
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