Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bohemians win with a probability of 38.46%. A win for Derry City had a probability of 33.33% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bohemians win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.99%) and 0-2 (7.23%). The likeliest Derry City win was 1-0 (10.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.