Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 66.95%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Mallorca had a probability of 12.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.22%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.61%), while for a Mallorca win it was 0-1 (4.88%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.