We said: Real Madrid 2-1 Getafe
A full-strength Real Madrid would be the big favourites here, but there are expected to be wholesale changes, which certainly gives Getafe a bigger chance to pick up a positive result. It would not be a surprise to see the points shared, but Los Blancos should ultimately have enough quality to secure all three points.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 80.38%. A draw had a probability of 13.3% and a win for Getafe had a probability of 6.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.88%) and 1-0 (10.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.3%), while for a Getafe win it was 0-1 (2.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.