Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 42.19%. A win for Granada had a probability of 30.94% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.67%) and 0-2 (7.71%). The likeliest Granada win was 1-0 (9.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Villarreal in this match.