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Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 5
Sep 18, 2021 at 2pm UK
Recep Tayyip Erdogan Stadium
Trabzonspor

Kasimpasa
0 - 1
Trabzonspor


Bozok (13'), Yildirim (78'), Serbest (88')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Bakasetas (53')
Denswil (58'), Peres (87')

Preview: Kasimpasa vs. Trabzonspor - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Kasimpasa and Trabzonspor, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Following a commendable draw with Galatasaray last time out, Trabzonspor will look to extend their strong start to the domestic season on Saturday, as they travel to take on Kasimpasa.

That point took the visitors' tally to 10 from four games, seeing them sit in second spot in the Turkish Super Lig table, while their hosts dropped to 13th after a defeat to Kayserispor last time out.


Match preview

Besiktas boss Abdullah Avci pictured in August 2018© Reuters

After last season's 14th-placed finish, Kasimpasa began the new domestic campaign with a trip to Hatayspor, and they left with a point as Saba Lobzhanidze levelled the game in the 72nd minute for the hosts after Valentin Eysseric's early opener for the Apaches.

Senol Can's men then quickly put their first win on the board, as Nicolai Jorgensen and Umut Bozok fired them to a 2-0 home victory over Giresunspor, before they earned a particularly impressive draw in a clash with title-chasing Galatasaray.

First-half goals from Alexandru Cicaldau and Kerem Akturkoglu seemed to have all but won the game for the 22-time top-flight champions, but Jorgensen pulled a goal back on the stroke of half time, and Bozok netted an equaliser soon after the hour mark to see them take a commendable point on home turf.

Can's side were brought back down to earth last time out though, as their trip to Kayserispor resulted in a 2-0 defeat as Bernard Mensah and Miguel Cardoso got on the scoresheet for the hosts.

After a strong start to the campaign, the Apaches will now look to bounce back from that loss, but they face another tough test as they welcome a Trabzonspor side in impressive form.

The visitors arrive with 10 points from their opening four games of the league season, having started with a dominant 5-1 away win over Yani Malatyaspor, as Anastasios Bakasetas, Anthony Nwakaeme, Gervinho and Marek Hamsik all got on the scoresheet in the first half before Djaniny converted a penalty to cap off an impressive showing.

On the back of a 2-1 defeat to Italian giants Roma in the first leg of their Europa Conference League Qualifying tie, Abdullah Avci's side made it two wins from two in the Turkish top flight, as Bakasetas and Nwakaeme fired them to a 2-1 home victory over Sivasspor, before their European fate was sealed with a 3-0 defeat in the second leg in Italy.

Karadeniz Firtinasi did not seem fazed by that defeat though, as they returned to league action to beat Giresunspor 1-0 away from home, with Nwakaeme again finding the net, before earning an impressive point in a 2-2 draw with Galatasaray last time out.

Similarly to their opponents' clash with the Turkish giants, Trabzonspor fell two goals behind before the break, but Andreas Cornelius pulled them back into the game before Nwakaeme hit his fourth goal of the season to see Avci's men remain unbeaten.

They will now look to extend that to five games and make a quick return to winning ways in order to further establish themselves at the top end of the Turkish top flight.

Kasimpasa Turkish Super Lig form:
  • D
  • W
  • D
  • L

Trabzonspor Turkish Super Lig form:
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • D

Trabzonspor form (all competitions):
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • D



Team News

Trabzonspor goalkeeper Ugurcan Cakir pictured in February 2020© Reuters

Kasimpasa will remain without Kevin Varga through injury, leaving new signing Nabil Dirar to deputise on the left flank.

They will also be missing midfielder Valentin Eysseric, leaving Can with a gap to fill in the engine room.

Nicolai Jorgensen will lead the line with confidence, having netted two goals in his first four appearances for the club.

Trabzonspor boast plenty of quality going forward, with Andreas Cornelius leading the line, while winger Anthony Nwakaeme has found the net in each of their first four league games of the season.

Former Napoli star Marek Hamsik also offers additional threat in the final third, and he got off the mark for the campaign on the opening day.

They will continue to play without winger Gervinho though, as the Ivorian recovers from a knock, and he is joined in the treatment room by Djaniny and Anders Trondsen.

Kasimpasa possible starting lineup:
Taskiran; Hadergjonaj, Bruma, Serbest, Elmali; Travnik, Sadiku; Erdogan, Hajradinovic, Dirar; Jorgensen

Trabzonspor possible starting lineup:
Cakir; Peres, Hugo, Ie, Koybasi; Ozdemir; Omur, Hamsik, Bakasetas, Nwakaeme; Cornelius


SM words green background

We say: Kasimpasa 0-2 Trabzonspor

Despite the hosts' relatively impressive start to the season, we think Trabzonspor will have too much firepower on Saturday.

With the likes of Nwakaeme, Cornelius, Hamsik and Bakasetas forming a well-oiled machine in the final third, Kasimpasa could be overrun, and should certainly be outclassed by their visitors.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 1.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 1.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Trabzonspor win with a probability of 53.05%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Kasimpasa had a probability of 22.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Trabzonspor win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.71%) and 0-2 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.4%), while for a Kasimpasa win it was 1-0 (6.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Trabzonspor in this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Kasimpasa vs Trabzonspor

Kasimpasa
30.0%
Draw
10.0%
Trabzonspor
60.0%
10
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TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1GalatasarayGalatasaray11101032112131
2Fenerbahce118212791826
3Samsunspor1281324131125
4EyupsporEyupspor126421811722
5BesiktasBesiktas116321910921
6Goztepe SKGoztepe SK115331913618
7SivassporSivasspor125251720-317
8Istanbul BasaksehirIstanbul114431714316
9KasimpasaKasimpasa123541619-314
10KonyasporKonyaspor124261420-614
11AntalyasporAntalyaspor124261524-914
12Caykur RizesporCaykur Rizespor114161019-913
13TrabzonsporTrabzonspor112631214-212
14GaziantepGaziantep113351518-312
15KayserisporKayserispor112631116-512
16Bodrumspor123271016-611
17AlanyasporAlanyaspor11245914-510
18Hatayspor111371018-86
19Adana Demirspor11029925-162


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