Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shimizu S-Pulse win with a probability of 38.44%. A win for Vegalta Sendai had a probability of 33.81% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shimizu S-Pulse win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.1%) and 0-2 (7.09%). The likeliest Vegalta Sendai win was 1-0 (10.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shimizu S-Pulse would win this match.