MX23RW : Wednesday, December 18 10:01:03| >> :300:86500:86500:
J1 League | Gameweek 23
Jul 14, 2024 at 10.30am UK
EDION Stadium

Hiroshima
1 - 0
Avispa Fukuoka

Ohashi (60')
Higashi (73')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Matsuoka (36'), Miya (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's J1 League clash between Sanfrecce Hiroshima and Avispa Fukuoka, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

All competitions
Last Game: Hiroshima 1-3 Vissel Kobe
Friday, July 5 at 11am in J1 League

Avispa Fukuoka

All competitions
Last Game: Avispa Fukuoka 1-2 Kyoto Sanga
Sunday, July 7 at 11am in J1 League

We said: Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1-0 Avispa Fukuoka

 Following a morale-boosting win in the cup, Sanfrecce should be confident of repeating the trick this weekend, despite facing a step-up in quality. Avispa will be happy to be on the road after back-to-back home defeats, but we do not believe that things will get immediately better for the visitors on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 59.58%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Avispa Fukuoka had a probability of 16.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.93%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.01%), while for an Avispa Fukuoka win it was 0-1 (6.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sanfrecce Hiroshima in this match.

Result
Sanfrecce HiroshimaDrawAvispa Fukuoka
59.58% (0.109 0.11) 23.43% (-0.023 -0.02) 16.99% (-0.087999999999997 -0.09)
Both teams to score 45.28% (-0.090000000000003 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.39% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)53.6% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.89% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)75.1% (0.024999999999991 0.02)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.29% (0.025000000000006 0.03)17.7% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.64% (0.046999999999997 0.05)48.36% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Avispa Fukuoka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.02% (-0.128 -0.13)44.97% (0.125 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.08% (-0.103 -0.1)80.91% (0.099999999999994 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Sanfrecce Hiroshima 59.57%
    Avispa Fukuoka 16.99%
    Draw 23.42%
Sanfrecce HiroshimaDrawAvispa Fukuoka
1-0 @ 13.78% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 11.93% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.54% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 6.89% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
3-1 @ 5.5% (0.0029999999999992 0)
4-0 @ 2.98% (0.014 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.38% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.2% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.03% (0.006 0.01)
4-2 @ 0.95% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 59.57%
1-1 @ 11.01% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 7.96% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 3.81% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 23.42%
0-1 @ 6.36% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
1-2 @ 4.4% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-2 @ 2.54% (-0.015 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.17% (-0.01 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.02% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 1.5%
Total : 16.99%

How you voted: Hiroshima vs Avispa Fukuoka

Sanfrecce Hiroshima
100%
Draw
0.0%
Avispa Fukuoka
0.0%
8
Head to Head
Apr 13, 2024 6am
Gameweek 8
Avispa Fukuoka
1-1
Hiroshima
Zahedi (22')
Iwasaki (30'), Tashiro (55'), Zahedi (61'), Grolli (64'), Maejima (74'), Wellington (84')
Sasaki (25')
Sasaki (58'), Kawamura (67')
Dec 3, 2023 5am
Gameweek 34
Avispa Fukuoka
0-1
Hiroshima

Miya (57')
Araki (90+6')
Nakano (28')
May 7, 2023 5am
Gameweek 12
Hiroshima
3-1
Avispa Fukuoka
Jun 25, 2022 10.30am
Gameweek 18
Avispa Fukuoka
1-3
Hiroshima
Watari (37')
Grolli (67')
Mitsuta (28'), Vieira (77', 86')
Ben Khalifa (45'), Notsuda (68')
Apr 10, 2022 6am
Gameweek 8
Hiroshima
1-0
Avispa Fukuoka
Shibasaki (90+4')
Araki (56'), Santos (66')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vissel KobeVissel Kobe38219861362572
2Sanfrecce HiroshimaHiroshima381911872432968
3Machida Zelvia381991054342066
4Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka381812849351466
5Kashima AntlersKashima Antlers381811960411965
6Tokyo Verdy381414105151056
7FC Tokyo38159145351254
8Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki381313126657952
9Yokohama F MarinosYokohama38157166162-152
10Cerezo OsakaCerezo381313124348-552
11Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus38155184447-350
12Avispa Fukuoka381214123338-550
13Urawa Red DiamondsUrawa381212144945448
14Kyoto Sanga381211154355-1247
15Shonan BellmareShonan Bellmare38129175358-545
16Albirex Niigata381012164459-1542
17Kashiwa ReysolReysol38914153951-1241
18Jubilo Iwata38108204768-2138
19Consadole SapporoConsadole38910194366-2337
20Sagan Tosu38105234868-2035
> J1 League Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!