J1 League | Gameweek 25
Aug 7, 2024 at 11am UK
Kyoto Nishikyogoku Stadium
We said: Kyoto Sanga 1-1 Nagoya Grampus
As two of the division's lowest goalscorers, few people will expect this contest to emerge as a particularly entertaining encounter. With that in mind, we feel that a goal apiece seems logical, something that may be viewed as beneficial to both teams.
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nagoya Grampus win with a probability of 38.92% . A win for Kyoto Sanga had a probability of 33.72% and a draw had a probability of 27.4% .
The most likely scoreline for a Nagoya Grampus win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.12% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.24%) and 0-2 (7.08%) . The likeliest Kyoto Sanga win was 1-0 (10.17%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%) . The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood .
Result Kyoto Sanga Draw Nagoya Grampus 33.72% ( 0.05) 27.36% ( 0.02) 38.92% ( -0.07)
Both teams to score 49.53% ( -0.06)
44.01% ( -0.08) 55.99% ( 0.08)
22.92% ( -0.07) 77.08% ( 0.07)
68.8% ( -0.01) 31.2% ( 0.01)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 32.46% ( -0.01) 67.54% ( 0.01)
72% ( -0.08) 28% ( 0.08)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 36.35% ( -0.1) 63.65% ( 0.1)
Kyoto Sanga 33.71%
Nagoya Grampus 38.92%
Draw 27.36%
Kyoto Sanga Draw Nagoya Grampus 1-0 @ 10.17% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 7.54% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.93% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 2.93% 3-0 @ 2.3% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.86% ( -0) Other @ 2.98% Total : 33.71% 1-1 @ 12.95% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.74% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.8% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.87% Total : 27.36% 0-1 @ 11.12% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.24% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 7.08% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.5% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.04% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.87% Total : 38.92%
How you voted: Kyoto Sanga vs Nagoya Grampus
Kyoto Sanga
Draw
Nagoya Grampus
11
rhs 2.0
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