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J1 League | Gameweek 25
Aug 7, 2024 at 11am UK
Kyoto Nishikyogoku Stadium

Kyoto Sanga
3 - 2
Nagoya Grampus

Elias (59'), Hara (74'), Tulio (79')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Patric (5', 19')
Morishima (65')
Uchida (47')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's J1 League clash between Kyoto Sanga and Nagoya Grampus, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Kyoto Sanga 3-5 Stuttgart
Sunday, July 28 at 11am in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Vissel Kobe 3-3 Nagoya Grampus
Saturday, July 20 at 11am in J1 League

We said: Kyoto Sanga 1-1 Nagoya Grampus

As two of the division's lowest goalscorers, few people will expect this contest to emerge as a particularly entertaining encounter. With that in mind, we feel that a goal apiece seems logical, something that may be viewed as beneficial to both teams. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nagoya Grampus win with a probability of 38.92%. A win for Kyoto Sanga had a probability of 33.72% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nagoya Grampus win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.24%) and 0-2 (7.08%). The likeliest Kyoto Sanga win was 1-0 (10.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.

Result
Kyoto SangaDrawNagoya Grampus
33.72% (0.045999999999999 0.05) 27.36% (0.021000000000001 0.02) 38.92% (-0.068999999999996 -0.07)
Both teams to score 49.53% (-0.061 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.01% (-0.080999999999996 -0.08)55.99% (0.079999999999998 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.92% (-0.067 -0.07)77.08% (0.066000000000003 0.07)
Kyoto Sanga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.8% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)31.2% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.46% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)67.54% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Nagoya Grampus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72% (-0.078000000000003 -0.08)28% (0.076999999999998 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.35% (-0.099000000000004 -0.1)63.65% (0.097999999999999 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Kyoto Sanga 33.71%
    Nagoya Grampus 38.92%
    Draw 27.36%
Kyoto SangaDrawNagoya Grampus
1-0 @ 10.17% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 7.54% (0.0029999999999992 0)
2-0 @ 5.93% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
3-1 @ 2.93%
3-0 @ 2.3% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.86% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 33.71%
1-1 @ 12.95% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.74% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.8% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 27.36%
0-1 @ 11.12% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.24% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-2 @ 7.08% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.5% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.04% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.11% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
0-4 @ 0.96% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 38.92%

How you voted: Kyoto Sanga vs Nagoya Grampus

Kyoto Sanga
54.5%
Draw
36.4%
Nagoya Grampus
9.1%
11
Head to Head
May 26, 2024 7am
Gameweek 16
Nagoya Grampus
1-1
Kyoto Sanga
Shiihashi (75')
Izumi (50'), Uchida (60'), Nakayama (90+7')
Toyokawa (36')
Toyokawa (12'), Miyayoshi (67')
Jul 16, 2023 11am
Gameweek 21
Kyoto Sanga
2-1
Nagoya Grampus
Yamasaki (13'), Patric (90+2')
Kaneko (53'), Fukuoka (59'), Ota (90+5')
Izumi (62')
Inagaki (10')
Feb 25, 2023 7am
Oct 8, 2022 6am
May 3, 2022 6am
Gameweek 11
Nagoya Grampus
1-1
Kyoto Sanga
Sakai (60')
Mendes (42')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vissel KobeVissel Kobe36208857352268
2Sanfrecce HiroshimaHiroshima361811766392765
3Machida Zelvia36189952312163
4Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka361612845341160
5Kashima AntlersKashima Antlers351610955401558
6Tokyo Verdy36141394746155
7Cerezo OsakaCerezo361313104343052
8FC Tokyo36149134949051
9Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus36145174244-247
10Avispa Fukuoka361114113135-447
11Urawa Red DiamondsUrawa351210134843546
12Yokohama F MarinosYokohama35137155455-146
13Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki351112125751645
14Shonan BellmareShonan Bellmare36129155152-145
15Kyoto Sanga35129144354-1145
16Albirex Niigata361011154458-1441
17Kashiwa ReysolReysol36913143849-1140
18Jubilo Iwata3598184260-1835
19Consadole SapporoConsadole36810184161-2034
20Sagan Tosu3685234268-2629


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