MX23RW : Sunday, March 30 20:55:04| >> :60:238:238:
Spain national football team
Friendlies 1
Jun 5, 2024 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Olimpico de Sevilla
Andorra national football team

Spain
5 - 0
Andorra

Perez (24'), Oyarzabal (53', 66', 73'), Torres (81')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's friendly clash between Spain and Andorra, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Spain 3-3 Brazil
Tuesday, March 26 at 8.30pm in International Friendlies
All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Bolivia 1-0 Andorra
Monday, March 25 at 9pm in International Friendlies
Current Group I Standings P GD PTS
1Romania101122
2Switzerland101117
3Israel10015
4Belarus10-512
5Kosovo10011
6Andorra10-172

We said: Spain 4-0 Andorra

Although De la Fuente could leave a number of regular starts on the bench, we still believe that Spain will showcase their supreme quality advantage to ease to a routine victory over the nation ranked 125th in the FIFA World Rankings. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spain win with a probability of 90.25%. A draw had a probability of 7.3% and a win for Andorra had a probability of 2.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spain win was 3-0 with a probability of 14.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.67%) and 4-0 (11.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.45%), while for an Andorra win it was 0-1 (1.04%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Spain would win this match.

Result
SpainDrawAndorra
90.25% (0.019000000000005 0.02) 7.28% (-0.008 -0.01) 2.47% (-0.0091000000000001 -0.01)
Both teams to score 35.03% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
72.66% (-0.029999999999987 -0.03)27.34% (0.032 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
52.09% (-0.038000000000004 -0.04)47.91% (0.040999999999997 0.04)
Spain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
96.39% (0.0010000000000048 0)3.61% (0.0011000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
84.39% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)15.61% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
Andorra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
36.34% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)63.66% (0.091000000000001 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
7.59% (-0.04 -0.04)92.41% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Spain 90.24%
    Andorra 2.47%
    Draw 7.28%
SpainDrawAndorra
3-0 @ 14.03% (0.02 0.02)
2-0 @ 12.67% (0.02 0.02)
4-0 @ 11.65% (0.02 0.02)
5-0 @ 7.74% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
1-0 @ 7.64% (0.014 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.34% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
2-1 @ 5.73% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
4-1 @ 5.26% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
6-0 @ 4.28% (0.0040000000000004 0)
5-1 @ 3.5% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
7-0 @ 2.03% (0.0020000000000002 0)
6-1 @ 1.94% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 1.43% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.19% (-0.006 -0.01)
7-1 @ 0.92% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.9%
Total : 90.24%
1-1 @ 3.45% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
0-0 @ 2.3% (0.004 0)
2-2 @ 1.29% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 7.28%
0-1 @ 1.04% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.43%
Total : 2.47%

How you voted: Spain vs Andorra

Spain
Draw
Andorra
Spain
86.5%
Draw
9.6%
Andorra
3.8%
52
rhs 2.0
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