Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a England win with a probability of 65.49%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Bosnia-Herzegovina had a probability of 14.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a England win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.64%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.38%), while for a Bosnia-Herzegovina win it was 0-1 (4.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-0 win for England in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for England.
-0.04) 
0.02) 
