The Dominican Republic have improved noticeably this year but are yet to face an opponent with the sort of attacking prowess that Chile possesses, and while they are not expected to win this match, they will gain bags of experience that will be invaluable to their still relatively young squad for the future. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chile win with a probability of 64.88%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Dominican Republic had a probability of 13.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chile win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.97%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.04%), while for a Dominican Republic win it was 0-1 (5.31%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chile would win this match.

Result
Chile	Draw	Dominican Republic
64.88% ( 9.71)	21.36% ( -3.67)	13.76% ( -6.04)

Both teams to score 44.1% (

-1.39)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.76% (

4.62)

51.24% (

-4.62)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.92% (

3.9)

73.08% (

-3.9)

Chile Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.92% (

5.15)

15.08% (

-5.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.38% (

8.95)

43.62% (

-8.95)

Dominican Republic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

51.93% (

-5.1)

48.07% (

5.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.72% (

-4.01)

83.28% (

4.01)

Score Analysis

Chile 64.87%

Dominican Republic 13.76%

Draw 21.36%

Chile	Draw	Dominican Republic
1-0 @ 13.71% ( -0.18) 2-0 @ 12.97% ( 1.87) 2-1 @ 9.5% ( 0.13) 3-0 @ 8.18% ( 2.27) 3-1 @ 5.99% ( 1) 4-0 @ 3.87% ( 1.51) 4-1 @ 2.83% ( 0.84) 3-2 @ 2.19% ( 0.09) 5-0 @ 1.46% ( 0.71) 5-1 @ 1.07% ( 0.44) 4-2 @ 1.04% ( 0.2) Other @ 2.05% Total : 64.87%	1-1 @ 10.04% ( -1.69) 0-0 @ 7.25% ( -1.44) 2-2 @ 3.48% ( -0.48) Other @ 0.59% Total : 21.36%	0-1 @ 5.31% ( -2.03) 1-2 @ 3.68% ( -1.28) 0-2 @ 1.95% ( -1.16) Other @ 2.82% Total : 13.76%