Friendlies 3

Jun 15, 2023 at 1pm UK

Phnom Penh National Olympic Stadium

Cambodia
0 - 1
Bangladesh

FT(HT: 0-1)

Rahman Jony (24')
(17'), (48'), (55'), (89'), (90+4')
Kazi (90+5')

Preview

Data Analysis

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's friendly clash between Cambodia and Bangladesh, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cambodia

Last Game: Malaysia 4-0 Cambodia
Friday, December 9 at 1pm in International Friendlies

Bangladesh

Last Game: Bangladesh 0-1 Seychelles
Tuesday, March 28 at 10.45am in International Friendlies

We said: Cambodia 2-2 Bangladesh

As well as the head-to-head column going against them, Cambodia have lacked defensive resilience over the past 12 months, although they have made up for such frailties in front of their own fans with a glut of goals. Bangladesh - who sit 16 places lower than Cambodia in the world rankings - will also be keen to avoid picking up any injuries before their competitive commitments begin, and we are struggling to separate the two nations in this one, so an entertaining draw may be on the cards. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambodia win with a probability of 75.85%. A draw had a probability of 14.8% and a win for Bangladesh had a probability of 9.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cambodia win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.68%) and 2-1 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.92%), while for a Bangladesh win it was 1-2 (2.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.

Result
Cambodia	Draw	Bangladesh
75.85% ( -0.08)	14.84% ( 0.04)	9.3% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 51.49% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.42% (

-0.1)

33.58% (

0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.61% (

-0.11)

55.39% (

0.11)

Cambodia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.64% (

-0.04)

7.36% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

73.43% (

-0.1)

26.57% (

0.1)

Bangladesh Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.58% (

44.41% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.54% (

80.46% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Cambodia 75.84%

Bangladesh 9.3%

Draw 14.85%

Cambodia	Draw	Bangladesh
2-0 @ 11.12% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 9.68% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.03% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.53% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 7.85% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 6.31% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 5.12% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 3.29% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.19% ( -0) 5-1 @ 2.67% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 2.08% ( -0.01) 6-0 @ 1.43% ( -0.01) 6-1 @ 1.16% ( -0.01) 5-2 @ 1.08% ( -0) Other @ 3.29% Total : 75.84%	1-1 @ 6.92% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 3.67% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 3.27% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.99% Total : 14.85%	1-2 @ 2.81% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 2.65% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 1.08% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 0.99% ( 0) Other @ 1.77% Total : 9.3%