Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Panathinaikos win with a probability of 57.06%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for OFI Crete had a probability of 18.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Panathinaikos win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.58%) and 2-1 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.46%), while for a OFI Crete win it was 0-1 (6.99%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Panathinaikos would win this match.