Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Olympiacos win with a probability of 84.45%. A draw had a probability of 11.5% and a win for Panetolikos had a probability of 4.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Olympiacos win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (14.14%) and 1-0 (11.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.24%), while for a Panetolikos win it was 0-1 (1.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Olympiacos would win this match.