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Gil Vicente logo
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 24
Mar 19, 2021 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Cidade de Barcelos
Nacional

Gil Vicente
2 - 0
Nacional

Marques (55'), Lino (71')
Afonso (44'), Nogueira (61')
Afonso (86')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Ramos (28'), Rochez (37'), Riascos (90+2')
Cesar (83')

Preview: Gil Vicente vs. Nacional - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Friday's Primeira Liga clash between Gil Vicente and Nacional, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Nacional will be looking to break a run of five consecutive league losses on Friday when they travel to Gil Vicente, who sit one point above them in the Primeira Liga table.

Both sides will be desperate to put more distance between themselves and the relegation zone, as 16th-placed Boavista sit level on points with Nacional, and one point behind the hosts.


Match preview

Gil Vicente got back to winning ways last time out, as Pedro Marques, Lourency, Talocha and Lucas Mineiro fired them to an impressive 4-2 victory away at Vitoria de Guimaraes.

That followed two consecutive defeats for Ricardo Soares's side, as they fell to a 1-0 loss away to Tondela followed by a 2-0 home defeat to second-placed Porto.

While they do sit 13th in the Portuguese top flight, Gil Vicente are by no means in a comfortable position with just one point between themselves and Boavista in the relegation playoff place, and two points separating them from the automatic drop zone.

Os Gilistas' struggles this season have largely been down to a weak attacking record, with only two sides in the division netting fewer than the 20 goals they have scored from 23 matches.

However, that recent 4-2 victory definitely shows signs of improvements for Soares's men, and he will hope to continue that with what would be a crucial win on Friday evening.

They take on a Nacional side who will be desperately searching for a win of their own, having lost their last five league matches.

Having previously sat comfortably in the middle of the Primeira Liga table, Luis Freire's side are now dangerously close to the relegation zone, with just one point between themselves and Famalicao in the automatic relegation zone.

In their last game, Os Alvinegros suffered a 2-1 defeat to basement side Maritimo, as Rodrigo Pinho netted a brace following Kenji Gorre's opener to put his side level on points with Nacional.

That defeat moved them even closer to danger, with a rival in the battle for survival picking up a crucial three points, and Freire will be desperate to not let that happen again as they look to reverse their fortunes with a win over Gil Vicente.

Gil Vicente Primeira Liga form:
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • L
  • W

Nacional Primeira Liga form:
  • W
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • L


Team News

Gil Vicente have managed to keep a fit squad throughout the season, with young forward Miullen remaining their only injury concern.

Attackers Lourency and Pedro Marques will look to build on goals last time out, having struggled to find the net so far this season.

Soares could keep his side unchanged from their last game, given the impressive performance last time out.

Similarly, Nacional have managed to avoid any major injury concerns, with Freire having a full squad to pick from for this game.

His midfield will be boosted by the return of Ruben Micael, who served a suspension last time out after picking up his fifth yellow card of the campaign.

Gil Vicente possible starting lineup:
Denis; Pereira, Nogueira, Fernandes, Talocha; Mineiro, Afonso, Goncalves; Fujimoto, Marques, Lourency

Nacional possible starting lineup:
Piscitelli; De Souza, Cesar, Kal, Witi; Ramos, Borges, Koziello; Gorre, Riascos, Matias


SM words green background

We say: Gil Vicente 2-1 Nacional

Nacional look devoid of any confidence right now, and even given the importance of this game, we cannot see them recording a win on Friday.

Despite a mixed run of recent form, Gil Vicente will come in with some confidence following an impressive victory last time out, and they will fancy themselves to record a crucial victory over a struggling Nacional outfit.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a double chance bet on a home win or draw in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home/Draw:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 36.68%. A win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 33.52% and a draw had a probability of 29.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.34%) and 0-2 (7.14%). The likeliest Gil Vicente win was 1-0 (12.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Gil Vicente vs Nacional

Gil Vicente
80.0%
Draw
7.5%
Nacional
12.5%
40
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Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon1010003533230
2Porto109012742327
3Benfica97112461822
4Braga106221771020
5Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes105321210218
6Santa ClaraSanta Clara106041312118
7FamalicaoFamalicao10442129316
8MoreirenseMoreirense104241212014
9Casa Pia10334913-412
10Gil Vicente102441216-410
11BoavistaBoavista10235713-69
12Estoril PraiaEstoril10235816-89
13AVS10235919-109
14Rio AveRio Ave10235820-129
15Nacional9225613-78
16AroucaArouca10217619-137
17Estrela Amadora10136820-126
18SC FarenseFarense10118417-134


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