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Freiburg logo
Bundesliga | Gameweek 20
Feb 6, 2021 at 2.30pm UK
Mage-Solar-Stadion
Dortmund logo

Freiburg
2 - 1
Dortmund

Woo-yeong (49'), Schmid (52')
Haberer (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Moukoko (76')
Bellingham (78'), Akanji (90+2')

Preview: Freiburg vs. Borussia Dortmund - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Freiburg and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Freiburg take on Borussia Dortmund in the Bundesliga on Saturday, with the visitors aiming to move into the top four positions in the table with a victory.

Freiburg, meanwhile, are looking to bounce back after last weekend's disappointingly one-sided 3-0 defeat at the hands of Wolfsburg.


Match preview

Freiburg head coach Christian Streich pictured on January 17, 2021© Reuters

Indeed, after embarking on an excellent run in the last couple of months, Freiburg were humbled at the in-form Wolfsburg last weekend.

The Wolves dominated from start to finish, with Freiburg's lack of their usual defensive aggression embodied by John Brooks's opening goal for the hosts. Freiburg failed to clear the ball on several occasions, with a spot of pinball allowing the defender to fire the hosts ahead.

Christian Streich's side looked like holding onto a one-goal deficit heading into the half-time interval, but Wout Weghorst had other ideas, as he so often does. Renato Steffen's perfectly-weighted through-ball allowed the Dutch striker to showcase his tremendous combination of strength and composure, muscling his opposing defender out of the way before delicately dinking the ball into the opposite bottom corner to double Wolfsburg's lead.

Freiburg simply could not respond in the second half, with Weghorst coming close to adding to his tally on two occasions before Yannick Gerhardt wrapped up the three points for his side with five minutes remaining. Streich will know his players must perform much better if they are to gain a positive result against Dortmund.

Erling Braut Haaland in action for Borussia Dortmund on January 16, 2021© Reuters

Edin Terzic will be feeling much better about himself and his team after two wins in the past week, but Dortmund still are not convincing to the level a squad of their quality should be.

They had to come from behind to win in last weekend's 3-1 victory over Augsburg, with Andre Hahn firing the visitors ahead by superbly buying himself a yard of space by jinking to his right and blasting the ball into the top far corner.

Erling Braut Haaland uncharacteristically missed the opportunity to bring BVB level from the penalty spot after smashing the bar, before Thomas Delaney's flicked header from Marco Reus's in-swinging free kick levelled proceedings heading into the half-time interval.

Raphael Guerreiro's delightfully chipped ball over the top of Augsburg's defence was perfectly played into Jadon Sancho's path, with the England winger calmly curling the ball around Rafal Gikiewicz and into the back of the net, before Haaland raced through and squared the ball, only for Felix Uduokhai to slide the ball into his own net and wrap up the win for the hosts.

Dortmund's defensive deficiencies remained clear in sight in the 3-2 win over Paderborn in the DFB-Pokal in midweek, meanwhile, with the second tier outfit coming from 2-0 down to force the game into extra time. Much to Terzic's relief, Haaland proved the hero with the winning goal, which takes them into the quarter-final in the competition which by far provides Dortmund's best hope of winning a trophy this season.

Freiburg Bundesliga form: WWLDWL

Borussia Dortmund Bundesliga form: WWDLLW
Borussia Dortmund form (all competitions): WDLLWW


Team News

Borussia Dortmund goalkeeper Roman Burki pictured in January 2020© Reuters

Freiburg will be without Roland Sallai, Kwon Chang-hoon, Gian-Luca Itter and Mark Flekken due to injury.

Streich may look to make a few changes after the disappointing performance in Wolfsburg, with Nils Petersen and Lucas Holer both pushing for a start in attack.

Dortmund, meanwhile, will travel to Freiburg without Roman Burki, Axel Witsel, Thomas Meunier, Dan-Axel Zagadou, Thorgan Hazard and Marcel Schmelzer due to injury.

Marwin Hitz will continue to deputise in goal.

Freiburg possible starting lineup:
Muller; Lienhart, Schlotterbeck, Gulde; Schmid, Santamaria, Hofler, Gunter; Demirovic, Holer, Grifo

Borussia Dortmund possible starting lineup:
Hitz; Morey, Akanji, Hummels, Guerreiro; Can, Witsel; Sancho, Reus, Reyna; Haaland


SM words green background

We say: Freiburg 2-2 Borussia Dortmund

We can envisage an entertaining match between two sides who are in excellent offensive form but can prove leaky in defence.

Freiburg have the benefit of a much more long-serving manager at the helm, and thus a more ingrained style of play, but Dortmund have the quality individuals to make up for it.


Top betting tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 2.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 2.5:data



ID:433704:1false2false3false:QQ:: from db desktop :LenBod:collect9845:
Written by
Brett Curtis

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 62.81%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 18.62% and a draw had a probability of 18.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (7.49%) and 0-2 (7.44%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 2-1 (4.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Freiburg vs Dortmund

Freiburg
15.9%
Draw
18.2%
Borussia Dortmund
65.9%
44
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4RB Leipzig158342420427
5Mainz 05Mainz157442820825
6Werder Bremen157442625125
7Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach157352520524
8Freiburg157352124-324
9Stuttgart156542925423
10Borussia DortmundDortmund146442521422
11Wolfsburg146353125621
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin154561419-517
13Augsburg154471732-1516
14St Pauli154291219-714
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