Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leek Town win with a probability of 60.29%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Ashby Ivanhoe had a probability of 19.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leek Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.34%) and 1-0 (7.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.96%), while for an Ashby Ivanhoe win it was 1-2 (5.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leek Town would win this match.
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