Euro Champ Qualifying | Playoff Semi-Finals Route D
Oct 8, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
Toše Proeski Arena
N. Macedonia2 - 1Kosovo
Kololli (15' og.), Velkovski (33')
Bejtulai (14'), Nestorovski (37'), Ademi (38'), Alioski (56'), Ristovski (73'), Dimitrievski (90+3')
Bejtulai (14'), Nestorovski (37'), Ademi (38'), Alioski (56'), Ristovski (73'), Dimitrievski (90+3')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a North Macedonia win with a probability of 54.41%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Kosovo had a probability of 20.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a North Macedonia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.47%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.67%), while for a Kosovo win it was 0-1 (7.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that North Macedonia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| North Macedonia | Draw | Kosovo |
| 54.41% | 24.65% | 20.94% |
| Both teams to score 48.14% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
