Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Johnstone win with a probability of 37.04%. A win for Galatasaray had a probability of 36.6% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Johnstone win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.2%) and 2-0 (6.31%). The likeliest Galatasaray win was 0-1 (9.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.