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Europa League
Europa League | Third Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Aug 6, 2024 at 6pm UK
Stadionul Orasenesc

Petrocub
1 - 0
New Saints

Davies (20' og.)
Lungu (27'), Puscas (38'), Cotogoi (89')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Redmond (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Europa League clash between Petrocub Hincesti and The New Saints, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Petrocub Hincesti

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Petrocub 1-1 APOEL
Tuesday, July 30 at 6pm in Champions League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

The New Saints

All competitions
Last Game: New Saints 1-2 Ferencvaros
Tuesday, July 30 at 7pm in Champions League

We said: Petrocub Hincesti 3-0 The New Saints

 The New Saints will hope that facing a closer-matched team in terms of quality will aid their chances in this contest. However, we cannot ignore how they were outclassed at Ferencvaros, and a similar scoreline could materialise here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Petrocub Hincesti win with a probability of 43.7%. A win for The New Saints had a probability of 33.93% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Petrocub Hincesti win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.92%) and 2-0 (5.43%). The likeliest The New Saints win was 1-2 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Petrocub Hincesti would win this match.

Result
Petrocub HincestiDrawThe New Saints
43.7% (-0.715 -0.71) 22.37% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06) 33.93% (0.777 0.78)
Both teams to score 67.04% (0.544 0.54)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.66% (0.589 0.59)33.34% (-0.587 -0.59)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.89% (0.671 0.67)55.11% (-0.67 -0.67)
Petrocub Hincesti Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.04% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)15.96% (0.036 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.75% (-0.062999999999995 -0.06)45.25% (0.066000000000003 0.07)
The New Saints Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.78% (0.681 0.68)20.22% (-0.678 -0.68)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.46% (1.074 1.07)52.55% (-1.071 -1.07)
Score Analysis
    Petrocub Hincesti 43.7%
    The New Saints 33.93%
    Draw 22.37%
Petrocub HincestiDrawThe New Saints
2-1 @ 8.69% (-0.108 -0.11)
1-0 @ 5.92% (-0.192 -0.19)
2-0 @ 5.43% (-0.183 -0.18)
3-1 @ 5.31% (-0.072 -0.07)
3-2 @ 4.25% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
3-0 @ 3.32% (-0.116 -0.12)
4-1 @ 2.44% (-0.036 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.95% (0.012 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.53% (-0.055 -0.06)
4-3 @ 1.04% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 3.83%
Total : 43.7%
1-1 @ 9.47% (-0.105 -0.11)
2-2 @ 6.94% (0.059 0.06)
0-0 @ 3.23% (-0.101 -0.1)
3-3 @ 2.26% (0.063 0.06)
Other @ 0.47%
Total : 22.37%
1-2 @ 7.57% (0.073 0.07)
0-1 @ 5.16% (-0.051 -0.05)
0-2 @ 4.12% (0.045 0.04)
1-3 @ 4.03% (0.121 0.12)
2-3 @ 3.7% (0.106 0.11)
0-3 @ 2.2% (0.069 0.07)
1-4 @ 1.61% (0.081 0.08)
2-4 @ 1.48% (0.072 0.07)
3-4 @ 0.9% (0.043 0.04)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 33.93%

How you voted: Petrocub vs New Saints

Petrocub Hincesti
88.1%
Draw
7.1%
The New Saints
4.8%
42
rhs 2.0
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