Petrocub were unfortunate to have lost the first leg considering APOEL only had one shot on target that was not from their penalty kick.
However, considering Petrocub's poor discipline last time out, it would not be surprising to see them reduced to 10 players at some point in Tuesday's clash, and this could affect their chances of progressing.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a APOEL win with a probability of 36.68%. A win for Petrocub Hincesti had a probability of 35.25% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an APOEL win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.81%) and 0-2 (6.76%). The likeliest Petrocub Hincesti win was 1-0 (11.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
-0.12) 
0.14) 
