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Champions League header

Champions League
APOEL
Champions League | Second Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 23, 2024 at 6pm UK
GSP Stadium

APOEL
1 - 0
Petrocub

Marquinhos (38' pen.)
Tejera (78')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Platica (12'), Abagna (20'), Bors (37'), Lungu (50'), Melachio Douanla (63'), Platica (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between APOEL and Petrocub Hincesti, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

APOEL

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Last Game: Larnaca 0-0 APOEL
Wednesday, July 17 at 5pm in Club Friendlies 3
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Petrocub Hincesti

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Last Game: Petrocub 1-0 Ordabasy
Wednesday, July 17 at 6pm in Champions League
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We said: APOEL 1-0 Petrocub Hincesti

 Petrocub may be coming into this game on the back of a fantastic unbeaten run across all competitions, while they have also kept clean sheets in each of their last two matches, but we believe the hosts will prove too strong for them in this one and secure a narrow first-leg lead. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a APOEL win with a probability of 41.89%. A win for Petrocub Hincesti had a probability of 31.66% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an APOEL win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.73%) and 2-0 (7.46%). The likeliest Petrocub Hincesti win was 0-1 (9.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for APOEL in this match.

Result
APOELDrawPetrocub Hincesti
41.89%26.45%31.66%
Both teams to score 51.77%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.12%52.87%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.51%74.49%
APOEL Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.04%24.95%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.4%59.59%
Petrocub Hincesti Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.99%31.01%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.68%67.31%
Score Analysis
    APOEL 41.89%
    Petrocub Hincesti 31.66%
    Draw 26.44%
APOELDrawPetrocub Hincesti
1-0 @ 10.74%
2-1 @ 8.73%
2-0 @ 7.46%
3-1 @ 4.04%
3-0 @ 3.45%
3-2 @ 2.37%
4-1 @ 1.4%
4-0 @ 1.2%
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 41.89%
1-1 @ 12.57%
0-0 @ 7.74%
2-2 @ 5.11%
3-3 @ 0.92%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.44%
0-1 @ 9.06%
1-2 @ 7.36%
0-2 @ 5.3%
1-3 @ 2.87%
0-3 @ 2.07%
2-3 @ 2%
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 31.66%

How you voted: APOEL vs Petrocub

APOEL
85.7%
Draw
10.2%
Petrocub Hincesti
4.1%
49
rhs 2.0
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